📘 SENB Daily Brief – November 13, 2025

Shutdown Ends, CPI Data Vanishes, Markets Panic — and Crypto Holds Its Breath

Welcome to the Thursday edition of the SENB Daily Brief — your late-day recap of a morning filled with chaos, contradictory headlines, and the most confusing CPI release (or non-release) we’ve seen in years. The government shutdown is finally over, the markets are shaking off a wild open, and crypto is stuck in a holding pattern while everyone tries to figure out what the Bureau of Labor Statistics actually released today.

Let’s unpack the madness.

🏛️ Shutdown Ends After 43 Days — Both Sides Declare Victory

Late last night, President Trump signed the funding bill that officially ended the longest government shutdown in U.S. history.

Here’s what happened:

• Federal workers will be paid retroactively

• Government departments re-open

• Data agencies restart operations (slowly)

• Both parties claim they “won”

• The public collectively rolled its eyes

According to AP News, Democrats called the result “a setback, but not a defeat,” while Republicans declared they “held the line.” Meanwhile, Americans asked the only real question: “Why did we do this for 43 days?”

Markets were relieved — briefly — before remembering the next problem on the list: CPI.

📉 Market Recap: Relief Rally Dies Fast as Stocks Slide

At the open, markets responded positively to the shutdown resolution.But by the afternoon?

Every major index dropped hard:

• Dow Jones: −1.5%

• S&P 500: −1.7%

• Nasdaq: −2.4%

Gold jumped 3% as traders sought safety. Asian equities rallied overnight. But U.S. markets? They pulled the emergency brake.

Crypto followed suit, with Bitcoin dipping and altcoins retreating into risk-off mode. Thin liquidity and CPI confusion weighed on sentiment across the board.

📉 CPI Chaos: Missing Data, Uncertain Numbers, Zero Clarity

Today was supposed to deliver the most important macro update of the month:October CPI at 8:30 AM ET.

Instead, we got… nothing real.

Reuters confirmed that the Bureau of Labor Statistics was unable to collect complete October CPI data due to the prolonged shutdown. The result:

• Missing surveys

• Gaps in reporting

• Potential skipping of the October dataset

• Questionable validity of whatever thin data did appear

This created the worst possible scenario for markets:Maximum uncertainty.

Impact on markets:

• No clear inflation direction

• No solid signal for rate expectations

• No confidence for risk assets

• More volatility than usual during CPI week

With incomplete data, the Fed’s usual “data-dependent” stance becomes… complicated. What do you depend on when the data doesn’t exist?

💹 Crypto Update: Sideways Chop & Pre-Event Anxiety

Crypto traders woke up to one of the most uncomfortable situations in macro:A major event without any real information.

Key developments:

• Bitcoin stuck between $101K–$102K

• ETH back near $3,000

• Solana DEX volumes down 10%+

• Meme coin liquidity evaporating

• Open interest in BTC futures at a 6-month high

• Institutions gearing up for a move, but directionless

The sentiment can be summed up in one phrase:Everyone is hedging, no one is confident.

Retail hates uncertainty. Institutions thrive in it.This is the exact environment where volatility breaks loose.

🔥 Spotlight: The Shutdown Spin Cycle — Both Parties Get Roasted

Today’s political communication circus was one for the books.

Democrats’ Spin

Politico reports internal frustration and accusations of “strategic failure.” Their message today:“We didn’t win, but we didn’t exactly lose either.”Translation: Please stop yelling at us on social media.

Republicans’ Spin

Conservative outlets declared victory, saying Democrats blinked.Translation: Ignore the damage — we did it for America.

Actual Americans

For the public, the shutdown delivered…

• Missed paychecks

• Broken data reporting

• Flight delays

• Paused services

• CPI confusion

No side “won.”The only winner was the meme economy.

📬 Community Mailbag: CPI Confusion Edition

Top questions from today’s listeners:

Julian, Boston:

How do you trade CPI when the data doesn’t exist?You don’t. You trade vibes.

Brianna, Phoenix:

More volatility tomorrow or Monday?Yes. Expect wider spreads, sharper candles, and messy follow-through.

Marco, Online:

Can we trust future data now that the shutdown ended?Not immediately. There’s a massive backlog. Expect messy revisions.

Angela, Seattle:

Did anyone “win” the shutdown?Just the meme pages.

Luis, Online:

Is Tina Bean coming tomorrow?She’s in HR right now arguing whether sarcasm counts as a taxable asset.

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🏁 Closing Thoughts

Today brought one of the strangest CPI events in recent memory. Shutdown over, data missing, markets confused, crypto drifting, and analysts pretending everything is fine.

Tomorrow’s episode will break down the fallout — whether the BLS reconstructs the dataset or the market simply trades on instinct, memes, and adrenaline.

Until then:

Stay caffeinated.Stay skeptical.Brace for impact.